POTUS 2012

Maine

538: 0.1%/99.9%

Vermont

538: 0%/100%

Rhode Island

538: 0%/100%

New Hampshire

Intrade: 35%/65%
Betfair: 34%/77%
538: 25%/75%

Florida

Intrade: 69%/34%
Betfair: 65%/38%
538: 59%/41%

Alaska

538: 99.9%/0.1%

Hawaii

538: 0%/100%

New York

538: 0%/100%

Alabama

538: 0%/100%

Montana

538: 98%/2%

Nebraska

538: 100%/0%

Arizona

538: 96.6%/3.4%

Nevada

Intrade: 19%/82%
Betfair: 17%/85%
538: 15%/85%

Arkansas

538: 100%/0%

California

538: 0%/100%

New Jersey

538: 0.2%/99.8%

Colorado

Intrade: 41%/58%
Betfair: 46%/58%
538: 37%/63%

New Mexico

538: 1.1%/98.9%

Connecticut

538: 0.1%/99.9%

Delaware

538: 0.2%/99.8%

North Carolina

Intrade: 79%/21%
Betfair: 77%/24%
538: 81%/19%

North Dakota

538: 99.9%/0.1%

Georgia

538: 99.8%/0.2%

Ohio

Intrade: 30%/70%
Betfair: 31%/74%
538: 20%/80%



538: Romney has just a 3% chance of winning conditional upon losing Ohio; Obama has just an 8% chance.

Oklahoma

538: 100%/0%

Idaho

538: 100%/0%

Oregon

538: 1.3%/98.7%

Illinois

538: 0%/100%

Pennsylvania

538: 3.4%/96.6%

Indiana

538: 99.8%/1.2%

Iowa

Intrade: 32%/68%
Betfair: 33%/71%
538: 22%/78%

South Carolina

538: 99.6%/1.4%

Kansas

538: 99.9%/0.1%

South Dakota

538: 99.8%/1.2%

Kentucky

538: 100%/0%

Tennessee

538: 100%/0%

Louisiana

538: 100%/0%

Texas

538: 100%/0%

Utah

538: 100%/0%

Maryland

538: 0%/100%

Massachusetts

538: 0%/100%

Virginia

Intrade: 48%/50%
Betfair: 49%/56%
538: 39%/61%

Michigan

538: 1.4%/98.6%

Washington

538: 0.1%/99.9%

Minnesota

538: 1%/99%

West Virginia

538: 99.9%/0.1%

Mississippi

538: 99.9%/0%

Wisonsin

Intrade: 25%/74%
Betfair: 24%/81%
538: 12%/88%

Missouri

538: 99.4%/0.6%

Wyoming

538: 100%/0%

Solid Rep
Leaning Rep
Tossups
Leaning Dem
Solid Dem
?? | ??
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